Believe it or not, we are halfway through 2018! As we reach this mid-year mark, let’s take a look at what our economy has been up to. After a stellar 2017, 2018 has brought a fair share of ups and downs, market volatility, trade uncertainty, and record unemployment numbers. However, as most individual Americans see […]
What if Trump and the GOP end Obamacare through the budget process, but are not able to pass a replacement?
What if President Trump and the GOP manage to successfully pass a tax cut plan? S&P and other forecasters estimate an 11% rise in earnings if corporate tax rates can be cut to 20% Rising earnings should continue to drive the market forward at a similar pace Rising rates and inflation are potential risks as […]
This scenario covers the heart of the global financial crisis, from the collapse of Lehman Brothers until the market lows of early 2009, and examines the max drawdowns of key levers over that timeframe.
What if tech company valuations normalize, erasing the recent outperformance by the Nasdaq? The Nasdaq has outperformed the S&P 500 by roughly 10% over the last year Drop in tech valuations might start in private funding (VCs) and spread to public markets A mild correction in the Nasdaq might ensue, with lesser impacts on other […]
This is a historical scenario capturing the changes in the economy from Oct 1993 to November 1994, when 10-year treasury rates rose from 5.3% to 8%. This rapid rise in rates hit fixed-income investors hard, leading to global bond losses of 1.5 trillion over a one-year timeframe.
What if North Korea and South Korea fall back into armed conflict as a result of aggression by the new leader Kim Jong Un’s regime? A real conflict in Korea would impact the Asian region as investors shunned risk throughout northern Asia. A serious conflict would result in the collapse of the North Korean regime, […]
